fafakeaccount.fyi

Account Market Intelligence

Outlook

Projected account price ranges per platform, fitted to publicly disclosed asking prices. Everything on this page is model output — a projection, not an observation, and not a forecast of any platform's fraud rate.

Projection, not evidenceModel p0.3 · 80% projection interval · fitted to 9 disclosed prices across 6 platforms. Projected figures are never written back into the evidence record.
Market-wide projected median · 12 months out$17.5380% projection interval: $2.61 – $118
Annual drift
-3.9%
Drift standard error
±25.1%
Residual spread (log)
0.506
Platforms with a price
6 of 15
todayAAPL · $15 · 2018-03-07FB · $13 · 2018-05-16AAPL · $11 · 2019-02-20ABNB · $25.3 · 2019-07-01GOOG · $80 · 2021-05-28GOOG · $25 · 2022-12-01NFLX · $2.32 · 2023-05-24UBER · $115 · 2025-04-14GOOG · $60 · 2025-06-3020262026202720272027
Observed yearly median of disclosed prices (log scale)Projection from today onwardDisclosed single-account price

The trend is estimated only from platforms that have disclosed prices at two or more dates, so price differences between platforms are never read as a trend. The band is the 80% projection interval — it widens with distance from the observed evidence, and its floor is deliberately conservative given how few prices exist.

Platform curve

Its own disclosed prices, then its own projection from today
todayGOOG · $80 · 2021-05-28GOOG · $25 · 2022-12-01GOOG · $60 · 2025-06-3020262026202720272027
Platform
Google / Gmail
Disclosed prices
3 · span 4.1y
Projected · 12 months
$38.76
Projection confidence
39/100

Solid line: this platform's own dated disclosed prices, joined for readability only — the record holds no prices between them. Dashed line and band: its projection from today, on the pooled market drift.

Projected range by platform

Next 12 months · 6 of 15 platforms projectable
PlatformObservedProjected range · 12 monthsConfidence
UBERUber$1151 price · to 2025-04-14$30.89 – $352midpoint $104
Very low6/100GOOGGoogle / Gmail$60.003 prices · to 2025-06-30$8.38 – $179midpoint $38.76
Low39/100ABNBAirbnb$25.301 price · to 2019-07-01$1.35 – $248midpoint $18.25
Very low5/100FBFacebook$13.001 price · to 2018-05-16$0.51 – $158midpoint $8.97
Very low6/100AAPLApple / iCloud$13.002 prices · to 2019-02-20$0.57 – $141midpoint $8.96
Very low19/100NFLXNetflix$2.321 price · to 2023-05-24$0.39 – $9.75midpoint $1.95
Very low6/100
Insufficient data · 9 platformsAmazon, Discord, DoorDash, Instagram, LinkedIn, Microsoft, OpenAI, Ticketmaster, X — no publicly disclosed price is on record, so no range is projected. Prices are never inferred from adjacent platforms.

Market-wide horizons

Pooled across every platform with a disclosed price
QuarterLowMidpointHigh
Q4 2026projection$3.28$18.06$99.42
Q1 2027projection$3.04$17.88$105
Q2 2027projection$2.82$17.71$111
Q3 2027projection$2.61$17.53$118

How to read a projection

  • A projection is model output. Only figures on the platform pages and the feed are observed evidence.
  • Ranges are asking-price ranges. Asking prices are not realized transaction prices.
  • The interval is an 80% projection interval around the fitted median, not a best case and worst case.
  • Where a platform has one disclosed price, the level is that single figure and only the trend is borrowed — treated as very low confidence.
  • Where no price is disclosed, the platform is reported as insufficient data rather than estimated from its peers.
  • The model is versioned (p0.3) and deterministic: the same evidence always yields the same range.
See the observed price curve insteadCompare defence scenarios
Read the full methodology